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Local and Expatriate Investing in Singapore – Part I

August 27th, 2010 7 comments


  

Over the past 3 years, I’ve spent thousands of dollars of my own money distributing books to teachers at Singapore American School, on the merits of indexed investing.

 The books were comprised of 15 different titles.  Call it a mission of a driven man, but I’ve been very surprised at the investment fees paid by local Singaporeans and expatriates—which is the only reason I’ve emptied my pockets to distribute free books on inexpensive, common sense investing.

When I first moved to Singapore, I searched for index investing alternatives for my expatriate and Singaporean friends.   I came across an article, ‘Buy Low Cost Index Funds‘,  by Mr. Tan Kin Liam (The Former Chief Executive at NTUC Income) but the indexed options he gave were still surprisingly pricey. 

It’s well known that investors stand the greatest statistical chance of stock market success when they buy index funds.  But a lack of financial education keeps many people buying their far more expensive cousins: actively managed mutual funds, also known as Unit Trusts.  What’s worse, is that many investment companies charge additional wrap fees on top of the excessive fees charged by unit trusts

When actively managed funds charge more than 1.5% annually, and then the investment service company takes a further 1.75% annually in advisor’s fees (See the Raymond James Freedom Account)  investors are giving away more than 3% annually.  If the stock market compounds at 9% annually, going forward, then investors are giving away 33% of their profits, when paying 3% in fees.  It shouldn’t be legal, but it is.

If the markets make 6% going forward (a rate of return many people would have been very happy with over the past decade) then investors paying 3% in fees are giving away 50% of their profits to fee-hungry firms.

 

What does this mean? 

Investors giving away 3% annually in fees are likely to make less than 1/3 of what they deserve over an investment lifetime, as you can see by the example below:

$10,000 at 6% annually =  $102,858.18

$10,000 at 9% annually = $314,094.20

Seemingly small fees make HUGE differences.

How about track records of indexed accounts?

In the U.S., more than 50% of pension funds are indexed.  Of the pension funds that aren’t indexed, nearly 90% have underperformed a combination of stock and bond indexes.

Investing with low cost, diversified indexes is a powerful strategy.  Most unit trusts/mutual funds are expensive.

And you don’t get what you pay for in the investment service industry.

It’s so bad in the U.S. that some companies are doing their best to educate their employees—trying to save them from paying excessive investment fees. Read More

While other people, like Yale University’s endowment fund manager, David Swenson, suggests that the systemic exploitation of individual investors (via unit trust/mutual fund fees) requires U.S. government action.  In his superb book, Unconventional Success: A Fundamental Approach to Personal Investment, he shows the industry for what it is:  a giant fleecing machine. 

If he saw what went on with offshore investment companies like Zurich, he’d rewrite the whole darn thing.  Massive early withdraw penalties with companies like Zurich ensure that you won’t move your money, even after you wise up to the drenching.

How about a comparison?

Over a short period of time, anything can happen with investments.  You might even have a high cost advisor who does well with your account over a short period of five years or so.  But over a lengthier period of time, an actively managed unit trust (mutual fund) account is like a swimmer wearing boots, while dragging a chunk of carpet through the water.  Eventually, the indexes are going to show him who’s boss.

Looking long term, if you had simply split $100 equally into 3 indexes (Canadian stock index, U.S. stock index, Canadian bond index) in 1976, it would be worth more than $3000 today, with no money added. Check it out here:  to see how this balanced portfolio of indexes would have weathered the 1987 market crash, the 2000-2003 crash and the 2008/2009 crash.

For Brits, Australians, New Zealanders and Singaporeans, you could create your own “home country bias”.   For example, instead of a Canadian bias (as with the indexed sample account above) you could have a home country bias with Singaporean, British, Australian or Kiwi indexes.

Historically, returns would have been similar to the Canadian example.

But how do you open an account and get started?

Those based in Singapore can open a brokerage account with DBS Vickers.  Instead of paying 3%+ as an annual investment fee, you could end up paying less than 0.3% while purchasing indexed products called exchange traded funds (ETFs)

The savings go to your bottom line.

In part II of this series, I’ll show you how to construct an account of inexpensive, diversified indexed ETFs through DBS Vickers. 

Donating to charity is great—but donating to the financial service industry is foolish.

 


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Sure! The Experts Recommend Index Funds…

May 14th, 2010 5 comments


… but what exactly are they and how do they differ from what most investors are sold?
 
“The best way to own common stocks is through an index fund”
–Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter, 1996
 
“The most efficient way to diversify a stock portfolio is with a low fee index fund”
–Paul Samuelson, the first American to win a Nobel Prize in Economics 
 
Stock market index funds are similar to actively managed stock market mutual funds because they both hold baskets of stocks.  But an index is different to an actively managed mutual fund because an index is meant to hold a group of (or nearly all) stocks in a given market, while an actively managed mutual fund is meant to trade a group of stocks.  As such, there’s a cost difference that can’t often be overcome.  The fees for the average U.S. mutual fund are 600% higher than the fees for a low cost index fund, when accounting for the expense ratio, 12B1 advertising fees, transaction costs, opportunity costs and sales costs.  It’s a financial albatross that’s virtually impossible to overcome—no matter how great your advisor claims to be.
 
Here are the main differences between index funds and actively managed mutual funds.  For simplicity, I’ll be using Vanguard’s total stock market index, which provides all the exposure to the U.S. market you’ll ever need.  In essence, owning it is like owning slivers of shares in every public company in the U.S.

 Actively Managed Mutual Funds Total Stock Market Index Fund
1.  A fund manager buys and sells (trades)  dozens  or hundreds of stocks.  The average fund has very few of the same stocks at the end of the year that it holds at the beginning of the year. 1. A fund manager buys a large group of stocks—more than a thousand.  More than 96% of the stocks are the same from one year to the next.  No “trading” occurs.  A new business that enters the stock exchange will, however, be added to the index and any businesses that go bankrupt will no longer be part of the index.
2. The fund manager and his/her team do loads of research.  Their high salaries compensate them for this, adding to the cost of the fund.  This added cost is paid by investors.  2. No research is done on individual stocks.  A total market index fund can literally be run by a computer.  Its goal is to virtually own everything on the stock market so there are no “trading” decisions to make.  This means that there are no research costs, and no high salaried fund managers to pay.
3. Stock trading (the buying and selling of stocks) within the fund generates commission expenses, which are taken out of the value of the mutual fund.  The investors pay for these. 3.  Because there’s no “trading” involved, commissions for buying and/or selling are extremely low.  The savings are passed down to investors.
4.  Trading triggers tax consequences that are passed down to the investor when the fund is held in a taxable account.  The IRS sends you this bill. 4. The lack of trading means that, even in a taxable account, capital gains can grow with minimal annual taxation.  You keep the IRS at bay. 
5. They focus on certain stock sizes and sectors.  For example, a small cap fund would own small companies only; a large cap fund would own large companies only; a value fund would own cheap companies only; a growth fund would own growth companies only; a medical sector fund would own medical companies only etc. 5. A total stock market index would own every category listed on the left—all wrapped up into one fund, because it owns “the entire stock market.”
6. Actively managed mutual funds (other than TIAA CREF) have owners who profit from the fund’s fees.  The more fees that are raked from investors, the higher the profits for the fund company’s owners.  You didn’t think banks and fund companies were charitable organizations did you?  6. A fund company like Vanguard is a “non profit” company.  Nobody owns the company.  Any “profits” made from the miniscule fee expenses go into operating the fund, and paying employee salaries.  But there are no “owners”.  If any “profits” are made by the fee costs exceeding salaries, the proceeds go towards lowering the fees. 
7. Because mutual fund companies have “owners” who seek profits for their fund company, there are aggressive sales campaigns and incentives paid to salespeople (advisors) to recommend their funds for clients.  The proceeds come from the fund’s assets, so investors pay for those. 7.  A company like Vanguard doesn’t have owners seeking profits, so advertising is minimal.
8.       Actively managed fund companies pay  annual “trailer fees” to advisors, rewarding  them for buying their funds.  This money comes from the fund’s assets.  In other words, investors pay for them.  8.  A company like Vanguard doesn’t pay commissions or trailer fees to advisors. 

9.  Most American fund companies charge sales or redemption fees—which go directly to the broker/advisor who sold you the fund.  The investor pays for these.

9. Vanguard doesn’t charge sales fees or redemption fees. 

10.  Actively managed mutual fund companies are extremely well liked by advisors and brokers

10. Vanguard puts money in your pockets—not in your advisor’s.  And you still wonder why most investors don’t use index funds?

)f you owned a mutual fund company, and you realized that investors were catching on to the advantages of index funds, what would you do?
 
First, you’d train your sales staff to come up with the greatest stories they could to debunk what the greatest minds in finance have concluded about index funds.  Your staff would have to come across as convincing—and come across as smarter than Economic Nobel Prize winners, and smarter than Warren Buffett, the world’s greatest investor.
 
But, as an owner of an actively managed mutual fund company, if your sales team fails you, you’ll need a back-up plan:  you’ll need to offer your own “in house” index funds.  But as an investor, you’ll want to be careful.  Find out what the index funds cost, and don’t ever buy an index fund with a sales load.  You should never pay an expense ratio of more than 0.3% for a U.S. stock index, or 0.4% for an International stock index either.
 
Vanguard’s total stock market index costs just 0.15% and their International stock index costs just 0.27%. Over time, they have been lowering their fees, while most fund companies have been raising theirs.  Again, there is no fee to get in or out of either of these products—and your investment advisor isn’t likely to recommend them: 
  
“When brokers realize that they won’t be compensated for putting our funds in a plan, they typically hang up on us.”
Vanguard, director of institutional sales.

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Can Anyone Find Index-Beating Mutual Funds? Maybe!

February 2nd, 2010 No comments


Roughly 95% of investors are either financially uneducated, or they believe they can find needles in haystacks. 

The financially uneducated ones give their money to financial advisors who typically invest their hard-earned money in actively managed mutual funds.  The investors may be rocket scientists, doctors, lawyers or ingenious academics, but most of those handing their hard-earned money over to a financial advisor tend to be financially naive.

The odds of paying somebody to choose funds that will beat a broad market index over time are miniscule, especially when accounting for the poorer tax efficiency that actively managed funds have over indexes.  Oh, and despite what their advisors tell them, they are paying those advisors—via load fees in, load fees out, trailer fees, soft dollar fees, or all of the above. 

But is it possible to find actively managed funds on your own that will beat the stock market indexes over the long term?  Maybe!

The average investor (buying actively managed funds) will trail a stock market index fund over the long term by roughly 2% to 3% a year, eventually earning a fraction of what they deserve.

Warren Buffett suggests that most individual investors (as well as most institutional investors) should stick to broad stock market index funds to maximize their success.

So is Buffett suggesting that investors can’t beat the stock market?  You might presume so.  But that’s not the case.  In his famous 1984 essay, “The Superinvestors of Graham and Doddsville”  he demonstrates that the market isn’t efficient, short term.  And well-trained, disciplined investors (with the right temperament) can beat the market.  Temperament, he suggests, is the key.  You can be the smartest person in the world, but if you aren’t “wired” to invest money, then no amount of academic learning is really going to help.  If you can control fear and greed, and you understand the fundamentals, then it’s possible:  you might be able to out-invest the market indexes.

It’s understandable then, that if you can’t beat the market yourself, you might want to find someone else who can invest on your behalf.  This is where market-beating mutual funds come in.  Buffett recommends indexes because of the high fees that most fund companies charge—not to mention their poor, after tax performance.  But does that mean that index-beating actively managed funds are impossible to find?  After all, there have to be mutual fund managers from the same genetic/academic vein as the “Superinvestors of Graham and Doddsville”, right?

If you twisted my arm and made me buy a slew of actively managed mutual funds, I know what I’d buy.  And for the most part, they’re fund companies that you haven’t heard of.  The top fund companies aren’t household names.  You generally don’t see them advertising themselves the way a well-known company like Fidelity advertises.  And they tend to pay financial advisors very little, if anything at all, so you won’t find them in most financial advisor-led accounts.

 Can you see the conflict of interest here?  Most advisors want to fill your investment account with funds that compensate themselves first, you second.

Great fund companies don’t tend to pay advisors generously (if at all), and they have some other things in common:

1.  They often shut their funds to new investors when they become too big.  Large fund assets make it hard to beat the market, so great fund companies shut their doors to new investors when their large funds balloon.  Companies like Fidelity and American Funds don’t bother doing this.  Assets under management mean money for the mother-ship, after all.  So if a particular fund attracts plenty of investors, it becomes a cash cow for the company, so why close their doors?

2.  They tend to charge low fees, and they have low taxable turnover.  In many cases, you must buy great mutual funds directly from the fund company, not through an advisor.  They keep fees low by keeping out the middleman, and they don’t “trade” a lot.  High trading volume means lower taxable efficiency.  For an actively managed fund to perform as well as an index fund after taxes, most have to beat the index by about 1% a year, just to break even.  And that’s really tough to do.

3.  They also tend to mandate that their managers invest large portions of their own net worth in their funds.  This also ensures that the managers are eating their own cooking.  They’ll want their money to do well, and they’ll want to do well after taxes.

4.  They are honest with their reporting.  On their websites, it’s always very easy to see what their fees are and what their returns have been relative to the stock market index.  They don’t just give you pieces of the truth; they give you the whole truth.  For every time period comparison (ie. How have they done over 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, 10 years, 15 years etc) they compare their funds’ results directly with the S&P 500 index—if it’s a large cap U.S. fund.  If it’s a small cap fund, they compare their performance to a small cap index.  It’s very admirable reporting.  Here’s an example

5.  Their funds have been around a long time.

So….which do I think the top mutual fund companies in the U.S. are?

In no particular order, here are a handful of companies deserving applause.  And they have all beaten the stock market indexes over the long term.  Funny though.  You may not have heard of them:

1.  Tweedy Browne

2.  Longleaf Partners

3.  Dodge and Cox

4.  Sequoia funds

5.  Royce Funds

There might be brilliant fund managers out there who can beat the market.  And this list of five fund companies may have a few of them in their midst. 

And if you’re going to venture off onto the road rarely taken (with these fund companies that are rarely, if ever, pushed by advisors) invest in them for the long run.  Most investors (and most advisors) jump around.  When their fund hasn’t done well lately, they switch to a fund that has.  I’m sorry if you think your advisor can do this and stay ahead of the curve—he or she can’t.

Stick with a great fund for the long haul and you’ll do far better.  And if anything, do the opposite of what most financial advisors would do:  buy mutual fund shares (in the above companies) after they have had a terrible year, relative to their peers.  Because they’ll likely come roaring back if they follow disciplined investment approaches.  And I believe that the above funds do.

If you want to know if your investment advisor is truly a fool, listen for these words:

“We’re going to get you out of this fund because it hasn’t done well lately.  And we’ll get you into this other one because it has.”

It doesn’t matter what those funds are.  A poor recent performance alone is a terrible reason to leave a mutual fund.  If your advisor lacks the sophistication to say something so silly—run from that advisor, and don’t look back.

Then buy and hold broad market indexes–or funds like the companies listed above.  Studies have shown that investors who trade more often (whether they’re mutual funds or individual stocks) perform far worse than investors who buy and hold.

Human instincts tempt most people to sell low and then buy high.  Buying yesterday’s recent winners is always a bad idea because they often turn into tomorrow’s losers.  And jumping around, instead of buying and holding, can have significant tax consequences as well.

But another word of caution:

Do you remember what I said about how an actively managed mutual fund (in a taxable account) will have to beat its counterpart index by roughly 1% a year, just to break even with the performance of the index?

One of the above companies, Tweedy Browne, actually shows its pre-tax and post-tax performance comparison with the S&P 500 index.

Since 1993, its value fund has amazingly beaten the S&P 500 before taxes.  As you can see below, it has produced an annual return of 8.53% before taxes, versus 7.59% for the S&P 500 index.  But that’s before taxes.  Tweedy Browne is fabulous enough (I love honest companies) to show its annual return after taxes and distributions.  Compared to the index (which is more tax efficient than an actively managed fund) the comparison doesn’t look as stellar for this fund now, as you can see below.

Annual Total Returns For Periods Ending 12/31/09 (%)


Tweedy, Browne Value Fund


Average Annual Total Returns

Return Before Taxes

Return After Taxes on Distributions

Return After Taxes on Distributions & Sale of Fund Shares

S&P 5002

 

Morningstar Average
Domestic Stock4

1 Year

 27.60

 27.39

 18.23

 26.47


 30.90

3 Years

 -0.98

 -2.20

 -0.94

 -5.61

     -

 -4.20

5 Years

  2.08

  0.82

  1.71

  0.42

     -

  1.27

10 Years

  3.82

  2.83

  3.12

 -0.95

     -

  1.88

15 Years

  9.24

  8.26

  8.03

  8.03

     -

  7.77

Since Inception (12/08/93)1

  8.53

  7.60

  7.39

  7.59

     -

  6.92

 But Tweedy Browne is still a fabulous actively managed fund company.  And if you twisted my arm and made me buy some actively managed funds, this would definitely be one of them.

That said, tread lightly into this good night.  Finding outperforming actively managed funds ahead of time can be a tough thing to do—as the past isn’t always a prologue to the future.  You’ll be relying on long odds, and if you want to beat a comparable index after taxes, your funds will have to beat the market by more than 1% a year.

Impossible?  Nope.  You might be able to do it.  It’s just not a wager I’d be willing to bet.

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Am I Smart Enough to Beat the Market Indexes?

November 26th, 2009 No comments

I’ve devoted all sorts of time on this site to explaining why buying actively managed mutual funds is a fool’s errand.

After all expenses (most of which are hidden) and after taxes and survivorship bias, the odds of matching the returns of a low cost index fund are far lower than the odds of walking into Las Vegas with $10,000, gambling for a full week, and coming home with more than $10,000.  If you think those odds are even decent, think about why casinos are in business.  Trust me, you’d make more money owning the casino than by gambling in it.

So where do I put my personal money? 

Despite also writing about my investment club, and how we have beaten the market index (S&P 500) for a decade, I still have roughly 70% of my own personal money in indexes.

I own short term Canadian and International government bond indexes (symbols  XSB.TO and IGOV). 

And I own a Vanguard first world international index (symbol VEA).  For reasons describing why I don’t own emerging market stocks or indexes, please check out my post, “Why I don’t invest in India or China”.

With my individual stock picks (which constitute roughly 30% of my invested assets) I own a variety of U.S. stocks.  For ten years, I have beaten the S&P 500 quite handily.

 So why, then, do I not have all of my stock market money in individual stocks instead of indexes? 

The answer is simple:  the odds of me beating the market indexes going forward are slim.  I don’t believe, 100%, that I can beat the markets going forward.  And this is why 70% of my money is indexed.

It’s not that the market road ahead is going to make it harder in the future to replicate my past performance.  I’ve been very lucky in the past, and I’ve avoided doing silly things.  I’ve kept my investment costs extraordinarily low—because I don’t trade stocks, I buy them and hold them.  I also don’t have to pay mutual fund fees, which has helped me as well.

And as much as I’d like to think that I’m a market wizard, the reality of history brings me back to earth.  There have been fund managers who have built God-like reputations for themselves (like Bill Miller, who beat the market for 15 straight years) but ultimately, the market’s odds slap these guys back to reality.

I’m not smarter than Bill Miller.  And I can tell you that despite his extraordinary 15 year streak, an investment in a simple S&P 500 index would have beaten him after all taxes and expenses.   It’s very humbling.

I’ve never bought a lottery ticket in my life, and I haven’t wasted so much as a dime at a casino, yet I have immensely enjoyed giving the indexes a beating over the past decade.  That said, I keep track of every dollar I have invested.  And if the market indexes catch me, I’m going to sell the stocks that I own, and run with an investment portfolio that is 100% indexes.

I may not be a genius, but I’m smart enough to understand odds.

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Indexed Portfolio Flexes Its Muscles During the Economic Downturn

June 5th, 2009 No comments

Imagine walking up to your financial advisor with your newfound knowledge on the superiority of index funds over actively managed funds.

In short, you want to swap your actively managed funds (which pay your advisor very well) for passively managed index funds (which don’t pay your advisor very well).

But she says, “Oh, indexes don’t perform well during market downturns”.  Your advisor might look calm on the outside, but the questions you’re posing are making her sweat.  But you’re impressed by her composure and “knowledge” so you wander away,  and your account stays as it was—in funds that pay the advisor well.

What the advisor doesn’t do, is mention that a responsibly allocated investment account is diversified with stock funds and bond funds.  And that you can own stock indexes, as well as bond indexes. This will dramatically help you during a stock market downturn.   If you’re 40 years old without a pension coming your way, a strong rule of thumb is to have 40% of your money in bonds, or bond funds.

How would a portfolio of indexes–with 40% in bonds–have fared from August 15, 2008 to May 22, 2009, compared to a portfolio of actively managed mutual funds?

The starting date wasn’t chosen randomly.  A friend of mine switched his account from actively managed funds to indexes last August–and I’m revealing his account here.

Compared to actively managed mutual funds that have a minimum of 40% in bonds and 60% in stocks, this diversified portfolio of indexes has performed spectacularly.  And it would also be far more tax efficient than any of the actively managed funds below.

Do you want to see how he did?

You can even compare it with your own portfolio to see how your investments measured up.

read more: Indexes Win!

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Investment Advisors Convince 95% of Americans to Settle for Less

June 1st, 2009 3 comments

Mutual funds fall into two categories:  active and passive.  While most investors, sadly, fall for salesmanship.

Long term, after taxes and fees, a diversified portfolio of index funds stands the highest statistical chance of beating a diversified portfolio of actively managed mutual funds.  No academic study refutes that.  But the average investor is fooled by advisers–who make their living selling actively managed mutual funds.  Why does anyone buy actively managed mutual funds for taxable accounts?

Annual costs of just 2.7% extra per year can mean that the average investor will only have half the proceeds they deserve when they retire—thanks to excessive costs and advisers’ conflicts of interest.

And if you invested $10,000 over 55 years, the difference of just 2.7% in fees or extra taxes, are simply devastating:

  • $1,144,082 ($10,000 earning 9% per year and compounding annually for 55 years)
  • $   190,057 ($10,000 earning 6.3% per year and compounding annually for 55 years)

There’s nearly a one million dollar difference!

Don’t listen to salesmanship.  Listen to the true financial experts:

What does Warren Buffett say, the second wealthiest man on earth, and arguably the greatest investor in history?

  • “Full-time professionals in other fields, let’s say dentists, bring a lot to the layman.  But in aggregate, people get nothing for their money from professional money managers…The best way to own common stocks is through an index fund”

–Warren Buffett

or how about?

  • “The most efficient way to diversify a stock portfolio is with a low fee index fund”

–Paul Samuelson. the first American to win a Nobel prize in Economics.

But maybe Buffett and Samuelson don’t t know anything about money, you might suggest.  OK–how about another Economic Nobel laureate (none of which, by the way, have published relative statements other than those echoing this one):

  • “More often (alas), the conclusions [supporting active mutual fund management] can only be justified by assuming that the laws of arithmetic have been suspended for the convenience of those who choose to pursue careers as active managers”

–William F. Sharpe, Nobel Laureate in Economics, 1990.  “The Arithmetic of Active Management,” Financial Analysts’ Journal, Vol. 47, No1, January/February 1991.

And if all the data supports indexes over actively managed mutual funds, why doesn’t your financial adviser agree, and/or put your money into index funds (the leader, of which, is a company called Vanguard)

  • “When brokers realize that they won’t be compensated for putting our funds in a plan, they typically hang up on us”

–Vanguard, director of institutional sales

But how about Peter Lynch?  He’s the rock star mutual fund manager whose Fidelity Magellan fund caught investors’ imagination for years, as it spectacularly performed.  Since those heady days, his fund has been easily surpassed by the U.S. index, and he has this to say:

  • “The public would be better off in an index fund”

–Peter Lynch

But he was the rock star fund advisor from the 1980s.  His time has passed, you might say.  Perhaps.  But can you think of a more notable fund manager than Bill Miller?  He may be the most famous mutual fund manager of all time–one who beat the S&P 500 index for years.  (Since then, of course, the index has caught and surpassed his fund):

  • “[A] significant portion of one’s assets in equities should be comprised of index funds.”  “Unless you are lucky, or extremely skillful in the selection of managers, you’re going to have a much better experience going with the index fund”

–Bill Miller, Legg Mason Value Trust fund manager

Some mutual fund managers, of course (these are guys who actually run the funds) are mandated to buy shares in the funds they run.  But in taxable accounts, if fund managers don’t have to do that with their own money, they generally won’t.  Ted Aronson actively manages more than $7 billion for retirement portfolios, endowments and corporate pension fund accounts.  He’s one of the best in the business.  But his own taxable money?:

  • “..all our [his family's] taxable money is in Vanguard’s no-load index funds”

–Pg. 150, The Lazy Person’s Guide to Investing, Paul Farrell

And in an interview with Jason Zweig, of Money Magazine, Ted Aronson said this:

  • “Once you throw in taxes, it just scewers the argument for active management….indexing wins hands-down.  After tax, active management just can’t win.”

While notable investment author, William Bernstein agrees:

  • “While it’s probably a poor idea to own actively managed mutual funds in general, it is a truly terrible idea to own them in taxable accounts…[taxes are] a drag on performance of up to 4 percentage points each year…For taxable investors, indexing means never having to say you’re sorry”

But what would the BIGGEST seller of mutual funds tell you?  Well, billionaire Charles Schwab probably sells more mutual funds through his brokerage business than anyone has.  And when recently asked by Money Magazine’s Jason Zweig, where young people should put their money, he steered them away from actively managed mutual funds:

  • “I’m more of an indexer..the predictability is so high…For 10, 15, 20 years, you’ll be in the 85th percentile [before taxes].  Why would you want to screw it up?”

But how about some kind of real authority–like a former chairman of the American Stock Exchange and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission?

Well, here he is.  In Arthur Levitt’s own words:

  • “The deadliest sin of all is the high cost of owning some mutual funds.  What might seem to be low fees, expressed in tenths of 1 percent, can easily cost an investor tens of thousands of dollars over a lifetime”

But financial advisers are really smart.  Even if, as Yale University’s David Swenson suggests “…the market failure resulting from the mutual-fund industry’s systemic exploitation of individual investors requires government action” you should still be able to find a great advisor who can help you buy the best mutual funds, even if they’re statistically, brutally inefficient.  Right?  Wrong.  As an aggregate, financial advisers tend to do worse, when picking mutual funds, than the average independent investor does.  Fund managers buy more expensive products, which benefit themselves, in the forms of higher commissions and trailer fees:

“the weighted average return of equity funds held by investors who relied on advisers (excluding all charges paid up front or at the time of redemption)–averaged just 2.9% per year–compared with 6.6% earned by investors who took charge of their own affairs”

Harvard Business School study from 1996 to 2002

Pg. 104 The Little Book of Common Sense Investing, John Bogle

And if you still want to take the risk of buying actively managed funds in a taxable account, on your broker’s advice, keep this in mind:

  • “A miniscule 4 percent of funds produce market-beating [index beating] after-tax results with a scant 0.6% (annual) margin of gain.  The 96% of funds that fail to meet or beat the Vanguard 500 Index Fund lose by a wealth-destroying margin of 4.8% per annum”

–David Swenson, Chief Investment officer of the Yale University Endowment Fund

Other notable quotes:

  • “For now, at least, the old saying still seems apt:  Mutual funds are sold, not bought”

–Jonathan Chevreau, Financial Post

  • “There’s no greater pitfall than the one created by the retail mutual fund industry. [They] are ripping you off”

–Ric Edelman–Inductee in the Financial Advisor’s Hall of Fame

  • “After examining thousands of funds, Siggelkow concluded that fund managers do exploit opportunities to maximize fees, often using techniques that make fees virtually invisible to investors”

From Knowledge@Wharton, based on Nicolaj Siggelkow’s (Wharton management professor) study of mutual funds costs, Wharton School of Business

  • “Santa Claus and the Easter Bunny should take a few pointers from the mutual fund industry.  All three are trying to pull off elaborate hoaxes”

–Jonathan Clements, The Wall Street Journal, September 15, 2002

  • “Before you jump into [actively managed mutual funds] consider the cost:  typically 2 percent to 3 percent of your assets per year….You are simply giving your money away”

–Jane Bryant Quinn, Washingtonpost.com, May 19, 1996

  • “Your chances of selecting the top performing funds of the future on the basis of their returns in the past are about as high as the odds that Bigfoot and the Abominable Snowman will both show up in pink ballet slippers at your next cocktail party.  In other words, your chances are not zero–but they’re pretty close”

–Jason Zweig, author of the revised edition of The Intelligent Investor, pg. 245

  • “Whenever we lay out the math, people are naturally skeptical.  It seems too good to be true.  How can the mutual fund industry get away with charging us so much for so little?  Doesn’t all that expensive professional management accomplsih something?  Sadly, no.”

–Ian McGugan–Editor of MoneySense magazine

I would love to see an opposing study contradicting the above statements.  But after reading more than 270 finance books, I haven’t seen one.  I’d love it if someone could show me one.  But sadly, it doesn’t exist.

You and your friends can’t afford to buy actively managed mutual funds.  It feeds an industry that makes more money (in fees) over 6 weeks, than Warren Buffett made in a full 78 years  (the industry reaps more than $400 billion a year from investors).

Sadly, many people pay “wrap fees”—which are portfolio management fees, where they pay advisers an annual percentage of their assets each year to choose actively managed stock and bond funds for them.  These fees are on top of the extra taxes they pay, and the regular, inhibiting mutual fund costs they pay. Wow.

  • “Wrap fee accounts may be great for the ego, but they’re bad economics.”

–Frank Armstrong, author of The Informed Investor

If you want to see how a very simple portfolio of indexes has performed since 1976, have a look here.  This portfolio constitutes 33% in a government bond index, 33% in a Canadian stock index and 33% in a U.S. stock index.  MoneySense magazine wanted to compare the results with the average actively managed mutual fund, but the publishing company (which receives much of its advertising money from the mutual fund brokerage industry) would not allow them to publish that.

CCPP: Historical performance tables


More Information:

Real Costs Of Mutual Funds Hidden

How To Measure The True Cost Of Holding A Fund

Can You Afford to Invest in Mutual Funds?

Performance of Indexed vs Actively-Managed Portfolios for the 15 years Ending 31-Dec-2007


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